Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.004022 0.004227 0.004437 0.004668 0.004916 0.005175 0.005465
2025-01-12 0.003665 0.003973 0.004301 0.004680 0.005106 0.005572 0.006123
2025-01-19 0.003329 0.003678 0.004062 0.004516 0.005043 0.005640 0.006370
2025-01-26 0.003177 0.003567 0.004005 0.004538 0.005172 0.005910 0.006844
2025-02-02 0.003114 0.003547 0.004045 0.004662 0.005417 0.006320 0.007499
2025-02-09 0.002964 0.003416 0.003941 0.004605 0.005434 0.006446 0.007801
2025-02-16 0.002859 0.003329 0.003884 0.004598 0.005504 0.006637 0.008189
2025-02-23 0.002756 0.003238 0.003816 0.004569 0.005543 0.006783 0.008522
2025-03-02 0.002699 0.003201 0.003810 0.004617 0.005679 0.007057 0.009037
2025-03-09 0.002609 0.003118 0.003742 0.004580 0.005698 0.007175 0.009340
2025-03-16 0.002524 0.003037 0.003674 0.004538 0.005707 0.007276 0.009621
2025-03-23 0.002429 0.002942 0.003582 0.004460 0.005662 0.007299 0.009788
2025-03-30 0.002343 0.002854 0.003500 0.004394 0.005635 0.007348 0.010002
2025-04-06 0.002292 0.002812 0.003476 0.004406 0.005714 0.007553 0.010462
2025-04-13 0.002181 0.002687 0.003337 0.004255 0.005558 0.007408 0.010376
2025-04-20 0.002142 0.002657 0.003323 0.004275 0.005644 0.007621 0.010858
2025-04-27 0.002141 0.002676 0.003376 0.004390 0.005871 0.008053 0.011717
2025-05-04 0.002080 0.002612 0.003313 0.004337 0.005850 0.008106 0.011958
2025-05-11 0.002038 0.002573 0.003283 0.004330 0.005895 0.008262 0.012380
2025-05-18 0.001992 0.002526 0.003241 0.004304 0.005909 0.008370 0.012725
2025-05-25 0.001971 0.002515 0.003248 0.004348 0.006031 0.008654 0.013396
2025-06-01 0.001926 0.002467 0.003202 0.004314 0.006030 0.008737 0.013713
2025-06-08 0.001882 0.002420 0.003155 0.004275 0.006021 0.008805 0.014005